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意在新能源?巴菲特投资比亚迪浮赢8.6亿港元

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    “湿的雪”和“足够长的山坡”。巴菲特在他最新的传记《滚雪球》里巧妙地描述了自己的选股思路。

    在巴菲特从中石油一股中全身而退之后,很多人都以为他已经放弃了中国经济这道“足够长的山坡”,但“股神”却又在金融风暴最为恐慌的时候再现神来之笔。9月27日,巴菲特旗下附属公司MidAmerican(中美能源控股公司)宣布,以每股均价8港元的价格,斥资18亿港元(合计2.32亿美元)收购比亚迪(01211.HK)9.9%的股份。

    自“股神”宣布入股之后,比亚迪一时成为市场追捧的热点。在9月29日比亚迪发布公告后连续大涨,当天该股上涨41.67%,三个交易日内累计升幅近一倍,10月底更一度摸高至18.06港元。以比亚迪周五的收盘价11.82港元计算,巴菲特认购的2.25亿股比亚迪账面利润已经高达8.6亿港元。

    在巴菲特入股比亚迪之后,摩根大通随即发表报告称,巴菲特入股比亚迪是对其前景投下信心一票,并表示对比亚迪旗下手机配件及电子组装制造(EMS)业务增长前景乐观(包括比亚迪电子)。

    中银国际也将比亚迪初始评级定为强于大盘,目标价16港元。中银国际认为,比亚迪的电池业务应该具有高估值,纯电动汽车将毫无疑问替代传统意义上的汽车成为电池业务新的利润增长点。

    为什么选择比亚迪?

    中美能源控股公司主席 David Sokol在声明中也指出:“当全世界都在关注环境和气候变化问题时,比亚迪所从事的技术研发工作正是一个朝阳行业的代表。”
  上海智博方略资产管理有限公司董事总经理、巴菲特研究协会理事长周贵银认为,中美能源入股的2.32亿美元资金将被用于比亚迪股份汽车业务的二次充电电池、电动汽车及其他环保措施,可见巴菲特看重的正是比亚迪的新能源业务,而目前环保产业还是朝阳行业,符合了巴菲特向来“超前投资”的思路。

    另一方面,比亚迪在过去的一年中,股价跌幅过半,中美能源入股时,比亚迪的市盈率10倍左右,市净率1.5倍,而且近5年比亚迪的股东权益、净利润、销售收入均平稳增长,安全边际较高,这是巴菲特考虑的因素之一。

    博众研究所的分析师石雄表示,巴菲特意图利用中美能源这个能源控股平台,以传统业务为基础,以新能源业务为利润增长点来扩展他的能源帝国。

    “股神”效应也引来众多投资者的效仿。其中,全球最大的保险公司──安联保险(Allianz SE)在10月份就5次买入比亚迪股份。而富达国际(FIL Limited)也在11月6日,以每股平均价1.698美元(约合13.16港元),增持60.05万股比亚迪股份。富达母公司FMR LLC,也在10月份三度披露增持比亚迪股份,持股量由4.56%增至7.01%。

    然而,不买“股神”账的也大有人在。联交所资料显示,在股坛中有“金手指”之誉的惠理基金(Value Partners Limited)于11月14日,以每股平均价13.036港元减持了64.6万股比亚迪的股份,套现842.1万港元。惠理基金掌门人谢清海也在11月17日以每股平均价12.831港元减持了42.25万股。骏利资产更是趁着10月份比亚迪股价飙升的时候,减持了2533.3万股比亚迪股份。

    比亚迪这个雪球能否越滚越大,还有待时间的证明。 (黄婷)

"Wet snow" and "long enough slope." Buffett, in his latest biography of the "snowball" skillfully describes his stock ideas.

     Buffett from the oil in a get out, a lot of people thought he had given up the Chinese economy this "long enough slope," but "God Unit," but most of the financial turmoil in panic when flash in the pan again. September 27, the subsidiary of Buffett's MidAmerican (Sino-US energy holding company) that the average price per share of 8 to the price of the Hong Kong dollar, to spend 1.8 billion Hong Kong dollar (Total 232,000,000 U.S. dollars) to buy BYD (01,211. HK) 9.9% of the shares.

     Since the "stock god" shares after the announcement, BYD 1:00 into the market of hot pursuit. In the Sept. 29 BYD up in a row after the announcement, the stock rose 41.67 percent on the same day, three days a total increase of nearly double the Mogao once more by the end of October to 18.06 Hong Kong dollar. BYD to Friday's closing price of 11.82 HK dollars, Buffett's purchase of 225 million shares had been BYD book profits of up to 860,000,000 Hong Kong dollar.

     Buffett's stake in BYD, JP Morgan Chase was released to the report, Buffett BYD shares of its prospects for a vote of confidence, and that of BYD's mobile phone accessories and electronic assembly manufacturing (EMS) business growth Optimistic about the prospects (including e-BYD).

     BYD Bank of China will start as strong ratings in the market, the Hong Kong dollar target price of 16. Bank of China believes that BYD's battery business should have a high valuation, pure electric vehicles will no doubt alternative in the traditional sense of automotive battery business to become a new profit growth point.

     BYD Why?

     Sino-US energy holding company Chairman David Sokol said in a statement also pointed out: "When the whole World is concerned about the environment and climate change, carried out by BYD's R & D work is a Chaoyang industry representatives."

     Shanghai Zhibo strategy, managing director of Asset Management Ltd., Buffett association for the study of Zhou Yin, chairman of the view that China and the United States energy shares 232,000,000 U.S. dollars of the funds will be used for the stock car business BYD secondary rechargeable batteries, electric vehicles and other Environmental protection measures, shows that Buffett is the value of BYD's new energy business, and the environmental protection industry is currently Chaoyang industry, Buffett has always been in line with the "investment ahead of the" train of thought.

     On the other hand, BYD in the past year, more than half of the decline in stock prices, shares of Sino-US energy, BYD-earnings ratio of about 10 times, 1.5 times the Shijing Shuai, and the last 5 years, the shareholders of BYD Rights and interests, net profit and sales growth are stable, secure higher margins, which Buffett is one of the factors to consider.

     Bo, an analyst of the Institute of Public Shi Xiong said China and the United States energy Buffett intention to use this platform for Energy Holdings, based in the traditional business to new energy business for profit growth to the expansion of his energy empire.

     "God Unit" effect has also attracted many investors to follow. Among them, the World's largest insurance company Allianz ─ ─ insurance (Allianz SE) in October on the 5th to buy shares of BYD. And Fidelity International (FIL Limited) are also on November 6, the average price per share to 1.698 U.S. dollars (about 13.16 billion), the holdings of 60.05 million shares of BYD. Fidelity parent FMR LLC, also in October on three occasions to disclose holdings of shares of BYD, holding to 4.56 percent from 7.01 percent.

     However, do not buy "shares of God" are also accounts of many people. Stock Exchange data showed that stocks in the altar in a "golden" reputation of the Value Fund (Value Partners Limited) on November 14, the average price per share to 13.036 Hong Kong dollar holdings of 64.6 million shares of BYD , The Hong Kong dollar cash 8,421,000. Value Partners Master Xie is also the sea on November 17 to 12.831 per share, the average price of 42.25 Hong Kong dollar holdings of shares. Janus Capital is taking advantage of soaring stock prices in October BYD, a reduction of 2533.3 million shares of BYD.

     BYD this can snowball snowball, the time has yet to be proved. (HUANG Ting)

  

作者: 来源: 发布时间:2008年12月11日
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